EUNOIA Canvas · Gulf Coast Resilience
EUNOIA
Decision Intelligence Platform
OGC 134 Demo Access
Gulf Coast Resilience › Blended Energy + NbS · Pre-Disaster Capital Survivability Gate
DIGITAL TWIN SOURCE · NOAA CoastalDEM v2.1 · FEMA DFIRM Flood Zones · USACE Hydrology Survey · Last sync: 6h ago · OGC API COMPLIANT
Decision Journey
Site & Baseline
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Module Configuration
›
Capital Survivability
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Committee Review
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Decision Record
Review Moment 3 of 5
Decision View
Site Schematic
Capital Stack
Module Config
Site & Baseline
Three views of the same decision moment
Module Library
Toggle → live score update
```
Core — Always Active
Core
4.2 MW Solar Array
Utility-scale fixed-tilt. PPA signed @$68/MWh.
Active
+0
Core
12 MWh Battery Storage
4-hour duration. Emergency services contract.
Active
+0
Nature-Based — Add or Remove
Nature-Based
340 ac Wetland Restoration
Cat 2 storm surge attenuation. Biodiversity credit potential.
Active
+2 pts
Nature-Based
Urban Forest Corridor
1.2 mi corridor. Carbon sequestration + tribal cultural buffer.
Off
+1 pt
Tricky — Bounded Risk
Tricky Layer
Tribal Co-Governance
Stage 2/3 complete. Stage 3 consent required before interconnection.
Off
−1 pt net
Tricky Layer
Community Equity Stake
5% to local land trust. Reduces sponsor equity. Strengthens license.
Off
+1 pt
```
```
Review Moment 3 · Capital Survivability Gate
Can this project survive its capital structure
if one assumption fails?
21
+2
Readiness
out of 30
3
Modules Active
Readiness Index — Updates Live
Site & Title
5/5
Fee simple acquired. Title clear. Easements mapped.
ALTA survey, deed, easement schedule on file.
● Confirmed P5
Permitting Pathway
4/5
Pre-app complete. EIS waived. Coastal permit 60-day track.
Tribal Stage 3 consent gap remains open.
⚑ Assumed — P3
Interconnection
3/5
Cluster study complete. Queue #7. COD Q3 2027.
Signed agreement pending — kill criterion Day 60.
⚑ Assumed — P2
Offtake / Revenue
4/5
PPA @$68/MWh signed. Biodiversity credit revenue assumed $28/unit.
Credit price unconfirmed — thin market. Kill criterion Day 45.
⚑ Assumed — P1 required
EPC / Buildability
4/5
Fixed-price EPC term sheet. Wetland contractor BAFO received.
EPC term sheet, wetland contractor quote, schedule to COD.
● Confirmed P4
Ops & Reliability
3/5
O&M scoped. Wetland adaptive management protocol draft only.
Final protocol required before permit issuance.
✗ Open — risk to schedule
Team Notes
C. Thompson · Capital
Credit market at $28 holds the model. Below $22 it breaks. Need broker confirmation Day 45.
J. Reyes · Ecology
NOAA model assumes normal precip. El Niño active could reduce buffer capacity 15%. Flag for sensitivity.
M. Lee · Legal
Tribal Stage 3 cannot be rushed. 30-day float minimum. Interconnection app must wait.
R. Grant · Capital
Green Bank call Day 18. First-loss drops senior debt ~40bps. Model both before committee.
Kill Criteria — Active
!
3 Active · Project stops or pivots if unresolved
Day 45
Biodiversity credit confirmed below $22/unit → revenue model fails. Stop and re-scope NbS layer.
Day 45
Tribal Stage 3 consent not achievable in 90 days → interconnection app cannot be filed.
Day 60
Interconnection agreement unsigned → COD slips to Q1 2028. Tax equity window may close.
Layers:
Solar
Storage
Wetland
Urban Forest
Tribal Zone
Grid
Community
Risk Zones
GULF COAST HWY 90 200ft coastal setback FEMA FLOOD ZONE AE 100yr line 340 AC WETLAND Cat 2 Storm Surge Buffer 4.2 MW SOLAR Fixed-tilt · PPA @$68/MWh N 12 MWh BESS SUBSTATION POI · Queue #7 POI 34.5kV tie COMMUNITY CENTER SCHOOL benefit zone SITE BOUNDARY · 640 AC 0.5 mi
×
Legend
Solar Array
Battery Storage
Wetland Buffer
Grid Connection
Community Assets
FEMA Flood Zone AE
Capital Structure · Option A — Baseline
Blended Stack
Gulf Coast Resilience
$58.4M
Total Project Cost
↑ Frontier Unlocked · 340 ac Wetland Restoration Active
2 new capital structures now accessible
Green Bank Credit Enhancement — Subordinated tranche available. Public green bank guarantee lowers senior debt rate by est. 35–55bps.
Biodiversity Credit Debt Facility — Verified wetland performance unlocks $2.1M credit-backed facility. Requires OGC-compliant monitoring data.
Senior Secured Debt
62%
$36.2M
Tax Equity (ITC)
22%
$12.8M
IRA Direct Pay
8%
$4.7M
Nature Credit Overlay
4%
$2.3M
Green Bank Enhancement
+3%
$1.8M
Sponsor Equity
4%
$2.4M
Survivability — One Assumption Fails
PPA price −15%
DSCR holds at 1.21x
Senior debt covenant satisfied. Tax equity unaffected.
Survives
Credits at $18/unit
Revenue gap: $680K/yr
NbS overlay breaks. Requires re-scope or replacement revenue.
Kill criterion
COD slips 6 months
IRA window holds
Tax equity step-down occurs. IRA direct pay backstop covers gap.
Survives with penalty
Interconnection +$2M
Sponsor equity exhausted
Forces senior upsize or Green Bank gap fill.
Needs contingency
Senior Secured Debt · 62%
$36.2M · 20yr · SOFR+185bps
Lender
Regional consortium
DSCR covenant
1.25x minimum
Projected DSCR
1.38x
Term sheet executed
Tax Equity · 22%
$12.8M · ITC 30% + Bonus Depreciation
Structure
Partnership flip
Flip trigger
5% IRR or Year 7
LOI stage — not executed
IRA Direct Pay · 8%
$4.7M · Treasury elective pay
Timing
Post-COD, Year 1
Risk
Policy continuity
Policy risk flagged
Nature Credit Overlay · 4%
$2.3M · Biodiversity + Carbon
Price assumption
$28/unit unconfirmed
Market depth
3 active buyers
Kill criterion · Day 45
Sponsor Equity · 4%
$2.4M · Developer capital at risk
Contingency buffer
$0 — fully committed
Recycling plan
Refi at COD + 18mo
Committed
Green Bank Credit Enhancement · +3%
$1.8M · Subordinated guarantee tranche
Source
Gulf Coast Green Bank
Structure
First-loss subordinated
Rate impact
Senior debt −38bps est.
Requires
OGC-verified wetland monitoring
↑ Unlocked by Wetland Module
```
``` ```
Decision Thread
12 entries
DecisionMar 1
Capital Lane confirmed. Primary constraint: biodiversity credit market, not interconnection queue.
Chanté Thompson · Eunoia
Rationale
Rec'd
AssumptionMar 1
Wetland Cat 2 attenuation per NOAA model. Site-specific hydrology study not yet complete.
J. Reyes · Ecology
Proof P2
Day 30
AssumptionFeb 28
Credit pricing at $28/unit — comparable markets. No broker confirmation. Kill criterion attached.
R. Grant · Capital
Proof P1
Day 45
ConfirmedFeb 25
20yr PPA executed @$68/MWh. Step-up Year 10. Offtake fully contracted.
M. Lee · Legal
Resolved
✓
DecisionFeb 22
Wetland module retained despite credit uncertainty. NbS improves permitting and trust +2 pts — justifies assumption risk at this stage.
Chanté Thompson · Eunoia
Rationale
Rec'd
OpenFeb 20
Tribal Stage 3 consent timeline unknown. 30-day float minimum. Interconnection application blocked until resolved.
M. Lee · Legal
Kill · Day 45
→
ConfirmedFeb 18
Cluster study complete. Queue #7. COD Q3 2027 if agreement signed Day 60.
C. Thompson · Capital
Resolved
✓
AssumptionFeb 14
Green Bank first-loss available. Call Day 18. If confirmed: senior debt −40bps, capital survivability improves materially.
R. Grant · Capital
Proof P2
Day 18
Stage 2 — Completed
4modules
included
8in
library
4frontier
modules
Drag cards between sections
Included in this project
4 modules
These modules compose the current configuration and drive the capital structure
```
Core
4.2 MW Solar Array
Utility-scale fixed-tilt. PPA signed @$68/MWh. Primary revenue stream.
310 acPPA SignedAlways Active
Core
12 MWh Battery Storage
4-hour islanding. Emergency services contract executed. LFP chemistry.
4hr DurationAlways Active
N
Frontier · NbS
340 ac Wetland Restoration
Cat 2 storm surge buffer. Biodiversity credit revenue. Coastal permit pathway improvement.
BiodiversityKill Day 45
Tricky Layer
Grid Interconnection
34.5kV POI. Queue #7. COD Q3 2027 if agreement executed by Day 60.
Queue #7Kill Day 60
Tricky Layer
Fixed-Price EPC Contract
Term sheet received. BAFO for wetland contractor in hand. Execution required before close.
Term SheetPre-Close
Available — held or deferred
3 modules
Held pending data, team decision, or schedule constraint — may be activated at next gate
N
Frontier · NbS
Urban Forest Corridor
1.2 mi. Carbon sequestration + heat island + tribal cultural buffer. Carbon market not yet scoped.
Carbon CreditsNot Priced
C
Frontier · Community
Tribal Co-Governance
Stage 2/3 complete. Stage 3 consent adds 30-day float to ICX schedule. Held pending legal clarity.
Stage 2/330-Day Float
C
Frontier · Community
Community Equity Stake
5% to local land trust. Reduces sponsor equity requirement. Land trust board 60-day approval.
Option C Only60-Day Process
Nature-Based
Blue Carbon Protocol
Coastal marsh carbon sequestration. VERRA VCS standard. Market depth TBD.
VERRA VCSMarket TBD
```
Frontier Decision Registry
N — Nature-Based
C — Community Stakeholder
Wetland [N] — Included
Retained despite credit price uncertainty. NbS layer unlocks blended capital access and improves coastal permitting pathway. Kill criterion Day 45 manages downside.
Urban Forest [N] — Held
Carbon market not yet scoped. EPC has not priced corridor. May bundle with wetland for stronger blended capital position once market confirmed at Day 45 gate.
Tribal Co-Gov [C] — Held
Stage 3 consent blocks ICX application — 30-day minimum float. Revisit at Day 45 gate alongside credit market confirmation.
Community Equity [C] — Held
Land trust board approval required — 60-day process. Included in Option C capital structure. Activates if Option C is selected by committee.
Site and Baseline Record
Site Record
Project
Gulf Coast Resilience · Phase 1
Confirmed
Location
Harrison County, Mississippi
Gulf Coast Zone 4B
Confirmed
Site Area
640 ac gross · 310 ac buildable
post-coastal setback
ALTA Surveyed
Ownership
Fee simple acquired
Title clear, easements mapped
Title Insurance
Coastal Setback
200 ft from mean high water
Confirmed and mapped
Confirmed
Flood Zone
FEMA Zone AE · 100yr BFE 8.2 ft
Site-specific study pending
Assumed
Zoning
AG-1 Agricultural / Utility
Solar permitted by right
Confirmed
Utility
Entergy Mississippi
34.5kV POI available 0.8 mi
Confirmed
Tribal Consultation
NHPA Section 106
Stage 2 of 3 complete
Stage 3 pending
Environmental
EIS waived — categorical exclusion
Coastal use permit 60-day track
Coastal permit open
```
Stage 1 Complete · Site & Baseline
Foundation confirmed. 8 of 10 facts locked. Two open assumptions carry forward to Module Configuration.
8/10
Facts confirmed
Physical Conditions
Terrain
Low-lying coastal plain. Max elevation 14 ft. Predominantly flat with wetland soils south of HWY 90.
Soils
Sandy loam over clay pan. Suitable for driven piling. Wetland soil designation south of setback line.
Storm exposure
Cat 2 direct exposure. Cat 3+ surge potential. Design wind 140 mph per ASCE 7-22.
Solar resource
5.8 peak sun hours / day annual avg. P90 DNI confirmed via NREL. P50 1,920 kWh/m² GHI.
Infrastructure Baseline
Road access
HWY 90 direct frontage. Heavy equipment access confirmed without road improvement.
Grid proximity
Entergy 34.5kV substation 0.8 mi north. POI capacity confirmed via pre-application meeting.
Community assets
Community center and elementary school within 1.2 mi benefit zone. Resilience microgrid candidate.
Existing use
Fallow agricultural. Last cropped 2019. No active leases. Clean Phase 1 ESA.
Open Assumptions Carried Forward to Module Configuration
Flood elevation
Site-specific hydrology study not complete. FEMA map assumption used for wetland module routing and NbS sizing. Kill criterion if assumption fails materially.
Tribal consent timeline
Stage 3 scope and timeline unknown. 30-day minimum float assumed. Kill criterion applied at Day 45 gate — blocks ICX application if unresolved.
Regulatory Pathway
Pre-App
Utility pre-application. POI capacity and configuration confirmed.
Done
Day 0
ALTA survey complete. Title insurance bound. Site control confirmed.
Done
Day 0
Zoning confirmed. Solar permitted by right in AG-1 zone.
Done
Day 14
NHPA Section 106 Stage 2 consultation complete. Stage 3 initiated.
Done
Day 18
Green Bank first-loss call — confirmation needed for Option B capital structure.
Active
Day 30
Coastal Use Permit application filed. 60-day agency review begins.
Active
Day 45
Kill criterion gate — credit market and tribal consent confirmed or project pivots.
Pending
Day 60
Interconnection agreement signed. COD track confirmed. Kill criterion resolved.
Pending
Day 90
Coastal permit received. EPC fixed-price contract executed.
Pending
Day 120
Financial close. Construction start. COD target Q3 2027.
Pending
```
Lane: Capital
Readiness: 21 / 30
Modules: 3 active
Assumptions: 4 open
Kill Criteria: 3 active
Rev A · Draft
Review Moment 3 · Capital Survivability Gate · Gulf Coast Resilience
Which structure survives
if one assumption fails?
Three options presented for committee decision. Team recommends Option B. Select one option to proceed — your selection is recorded in the Decision Thread.
Option A
Conventional Stack — Senior Debt + Tax Equity + IRA Direct Pay
What it survives
Revenue drops 15% — debt service still met
COD slips 6 months — IRA window stays open
Biodiversity credits fall below $22 — model breaks, project stops
Interconnection overrun $2M — no buffer, sponsor equity exhausted
What it costs to get this
No additional steps. Fastest path to close. Two vulnerabilities remain unprotected.
Not recommended
```
Option B — Team Recommendation
Option A + Green Bank Enhancement + Nature Credit Overlay
What it survives
Revenue drops 15% — debt service still met
Biodiversity credits fall below $22 — Green Bank absorbs the gap
COD slips 6 months — IRA backstop covers the shortfall
Interconnection overrun $2M — needs contingency, not a kill
What it costs to get this
Green Bank call required by Day 18. Adds approximately two weeks to permitting. No equity dilution.
Team recommendation
Option C
Option B + Community Equity Stake + Vendor Equity
What it survives
Any single assumption failing — fully covered
Biodiversity credits fall below $22 — multiple layers absorb
Two assumptions fail simultaneously — marginal coverage only
Community equity negotiation stalls past Day 90 — blocks close
What it costs to get this
Land trust board approval required — 60-day process. Adds approximately 45 days to close. Strongest long-term capital position.
Consider for next phase
```